Cross-country fiscal policy spillovers and capital-skill complementarity in currency unions

Davoine, Thomas and Molnar, Matthias (March 2017) Cross-country fiscal policy spillovers and capital-skill complementarity in currency unions. IHS Economics Series 329, 30 p.

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Abstract or Table of Contents

We investigate cross-country fiscal policy spillovers through the integration of capital markets in a currency union and allow capital use in production to differ across countries. Following empirical evidence, we assume that production exhibits capital-skill complementarity. Using a multi-country overlapping-generations model calibrated for 14 European Union countries, we find that output spillovers are small with standard tax reforms but can be sizeable with large government spending increases financed by taxes: long run output losses in shock-free countries can amount to a quarter of the losses in countries hit by the spending shock. Conditional and temporary relaxing of the EU debt ceiling rule could benefit the Union as a whole.

Item Type: IHS Series
Keywords: spillovers, fiscal policy, capital-skill complementarity, multi-country modeling, computable general equilibrium
Classification Codes (e.g. JEL): C68, E62, F21, F45
Research Groups: Macroeconomics and Public Finance
Status: Published
Date Deposited: 29 Mar 2017 08:24
Last Modified: 19 Oct 2017 10:10
URI: http://irihs.ihs.ac.at/id/eprint/4234

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