A Small Continuous Time Macro-Econometric Model of the Czech Republic

Abstract: In this paper we estimate a continuous time macro-econometric model of the Czech economy. The model is built as a system of twelve non-linear differential equations. We illustrate how the model can be used to determine the nominal equilibrium exchange rate of the Czech koruna in a macro-economic framework. The paper also investigates the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policies in the presence of a fixed exchange rate regime and massive capital inflows. The search for an equilibrium point is outlined and stability and sensitivity analyses are provided, along with in-sample static and dynamic predictions with the approximate discrete analogue.;