Ifo Economic Forecast 2015/2016: German Economy on the Upturn

Wollmershäuser, Timo; Nierhaus, Wolfgang; Berg, Tim Oliver; Breuer, Christian; Garnitz, Johanna; Grimme, Christian; Henzel, Steffen; Hristov, Atanas; Hristov, Nikolay; Meister, Wolfgang; Schröter, Felix; Steiner, Andreas; Wieland, Elisabeth; Wohlrabe, Klaus and Wolf, Anna (2015) Ifo Economic Forecast 2015/2016: German Economy on the Upturn. ifo Schnelldienst, 68 (12), pp. 22-62.

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Abstract

The German economy is currently experiencing a sharp upturn. Real domestic product is expected to expand by 1.9% this year and by 1.8% in 2016. Private consumption remains the driver behind the upturn since the revenue outlook of private households is good due to continued improvements in the labour market. However, purchasing power gains thanks to falling oil prices are gradually fading, which is expected to weaken the consumption dynamic slightly over the forecasting period. Corporate investments will grow in an extremely favourable financial environment. The construction boom also looks set to continue. The depreciation of the euro is expected to stimulate exports through the second half of this year. The world economy will subsequently cool down slightly over the course of 2016 and will curb growth in exports. Imports will increase somewhat more quickly than exports due to strong domestic demand. Overall, demand-side impulses will come from the domestic economy just like last year.

Item Type: Article in Academic Journal
Keywords: Konjunktur, Internationale Konjunktur, Internationale Wirtschaft, Wirtschaftsprognose, Deutschland, Eurozone, Welt
Classification Codes (e.g. JEL): F000, O100
Research Units: Current Research Groups > European Governance, Public Finance and Labor Markets
Date Deposited: 12 Jan 2024 11:17
Last Modified: 12 Jan 2024 11:17
URI: https://irihs.ihs.ac.at/id/eprint/6859

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