A Quarterly Econometric Model for the Slovak Economy SR-1Q

Abstract: SR-1Q, the small aggregate econometric model for the Slovak economy presented in the paper, is based on quarterly time series covering the period 1st quarter 1993 - 4th quarter 1996. SR-1Q is demand determined and presents a simultaneous system of 60 dynamic regression equations and identities expressing relations among 97 variables. The time series concerning real flows are expressed in fixed 1993 prices. For estimation of individual regression equations the unadjusted time series combined with seasonal dummies were used. The main endogenous variables of the model are the basic macroeconomic aggregates typical for a market economy. The external economic environment is characterized by three exogenous variables - total import of the European Union, import price index of the European Union and total import of the Czech Republic.;